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Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$13.1K
695 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 173 traders

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

2 MARKETS · $23.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs18 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$178+7 new NO$198
$194 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $508 is directional: YES $502·NO $7
YES Team
Total Invested
$700
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$394(-56.2%)
Whales
7
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 66¢·326 shares
$-114INV $215 · WR 56.9%
M
musicenthusiast🥈hedged
Entry 64¢·312 shares·also $404 on NO
$-120INV $198 · WR 58.9%
S
spaceloaf🥉
Entry 74¢·200 shares
$-85INV $147 · WR 63.5%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 67¢·102.3 shares
$-37INV $69 · WR 57.4%
S
sweetj
Entry 65¢·81 shares
$-28INV $53 · WR 74.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 60¢·20 shares
$-6INV $12 · WR 68.9%
H
hamid1919
Entry 68¢·7.4 shares
$-3INV $5 · WR 74.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Steve Hilton win Fresno County…