Geopolitics21 days left
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$17.8K
456 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 120 traders
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
4 MARKETS · $49.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs19 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.9K is directional: YES $190·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$664
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$515(-77.6%)
Whales
10
R
Rybkaoi🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·476.3 shares·also $207 on NO
Invested
$291
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $291 · WR 60.1%
J
Johndorito🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·149.6 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$141
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $141 · WR 81.8%
C
controls◆Proven🥉
Entry 14¢·750 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $105 · WR 72.2%
A
AskGloriahedged
Entry 26¢·115 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $30 · WR 55.2%
-
-BOB-
Entry 49¢·61.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $30 · WR 66.7%
J
JJJAY
Entry 14¢·182.2 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $25 · WR 61.1%
G
Greysok
Entry 47¢·51 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $24 · WR 58.4%
W
walkwithyourboyhedged
Entry 55¢·20.8 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 56.4%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 56¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 67.8%
S
Scratchy-Octavo
Entry 40¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 64.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+44.8%)
Whales
19
J
JoeBlack01🥇
Entry 68¢·2,734.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$655
+$655INV $1.9K · WR 60.0%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥈
Entry 63¢·600 shares
Invested
$380
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $380 · WR 70.5%
R
Rybkaoi🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·476.2 shares·also $291 on YES
Invested
$207
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$231
+$231INV $207 · WR 60.1%
D
David6
Entry 94¢·212.8 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $200 · WR 66.7%
G
GaioMario
Entry 57¢·345 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $196 · WR 71.7%
Y
Yellowish-Receptor
Entry 92¢·50 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $46 · WR 59.7%
B
Brokkk
Entry 89¢·33.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 86.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 65¢·29.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 68.3%
J
Johndoritohedged
Entry 10¢·149.6 shares·also $141 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $15 · WR 81.8%
E
Eia
Entry 46¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $14 · WR 61.8%
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