Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 75% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.1K
52 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 41 traders
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 21%NO 79%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
$0
$14
+0 new YES+2 new NO · 1 smart whale
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $9·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-1.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.4%)
Whales
11
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 99¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 86.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 95¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 56.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.5%
E
Esteemed-Conduct
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 65.6%
M
Meaty-Resist-Shopping
Entry 95¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 84.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 100¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.7%
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