Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.3K
179 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 84 traders
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
$0
$14
+2 new YES+2 new NO · 1 smart whale
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $11·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-74.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+14.1%)
Whales
12
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 87¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $22 · WR 79.2%
P
puskin🥉
Entry 75¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 90.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 84¢·21.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 88¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 71.9%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 88¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 82.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 86.1%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 97¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 86.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
F
fkpahedged
Entry 83¢·8.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 61.8%
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