Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 70%-75%?
YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$4.6K
169 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 83 traders
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 98¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 98¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%
$14
$0
+1 new YES · 1 smart whale+2 new NO · 1 smart whale
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $267 is directional: YES $264·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$302
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$382(+126.6%)
Whales
6
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 71¢·292.4 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $207 · WR 78.2%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 13¢·296 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$248
+$248INV $40 · WR 71.6%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉
Entry 47¢·40 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $19 · WR 66.9%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 81.5%
R
RayGuy
Entry 97¢·14 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 56.1%
F
fkpa
Entry 14¢·40 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $6 · WR 61.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$114(-97.3%)
Whales
9
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $34 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 89¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 88¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 86.1%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 85¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 72.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 86¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 85.7%
P
puskin
Entry 85¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 90.9%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 3¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 73.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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