Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 25% or more?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$3.2K

155 trades

Smart Whales

16

of 71 traders

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $20.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25% or more←

1¢+18¢$3.2K3/13

by 25% or more←+18¢1¢

97¢−64¢$5.5K5/10

by 20%-25%−64¢97¢

1¢+24¢$5.6K4/12

by 15%-20%+24¢1¢

2¢+27¢$3.4K4/10

by 10%-15%+27¢2¢

0¢+25¢$6322/6

by 5%-10%+25¢0¢

0¢+10¢$8731/9

by 0%-5%+10¢0¢

1¢+10¢$7991/8

by 0%-5%+10¢1¢

0¢+20¢$7492/8

by 5% or more+20¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs13 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 0.8¢

YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.8¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $83 is directional: YES $62·NO $20

YES Team

Total Invested

$72

Avg Win Rate

65.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$67(-93.0%)

Whales

3

Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇

Entry 11¢·434.2 shares

$-46INV $49 · WR 65.9%

Entry 11¢·120 shares

$-12INV $13 · WR 71.3%

Anjun🥉hedged

Entry 18¢·56.3 shares·also $28 on NO

$-10INV $10 · WR 58.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$328

Avg Win Rate

80.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$46(+13.9%)

Whales

13

Entry 89¢·121.9 shares

+$13INV $108 · WR 87.7%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 97¢·80 shares

+$2INV $78 · WR 86.1%

Anjun🥉hedged

Entry 79¢·35 shares·also $10 on YES

+$7INV $28 · WR 58.4%

Entry 77¢·24.4 shares

+$5INV $19 · WR 55.0%

Entry 85¢·20 shares

+$3INV $17 · WR 86.6%

Entry 81¢·20 shares

+$4INV $16 · WR 86.1%

Entry 80¢·20 shares

+$4INV $16 · WR 79.2%

Entry 85¢·17.9 shares

+$3INV $15 · WR 71.9%

Shiny-Pension-Omission

Entry 82¢·15.4 shares

+$3INV $13 · WR 82.2%

Entry 80¢·10 shares

+$2INV $8 · WR 88.6%

Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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