Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$3.4K

160 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 70 traders

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $20.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

1¢+18¢$3.2K3/13

by 25% or more+18¢1¢

97¢−64¢$5.5K5/10

by 20%-25%−64¢97¢

1¢+24¢$5.6K4/12

by 15%-20%+24¢1¢

2¢+27¢$3.4K4/10

by 10%-15%←+27¢2¢

0¢+25¢$6322/6

by 5%-10%+25¢0¢

0¢+10¢$8731/9

by 0%-5%+10¢0¢

1¢+10¢$7991/8

by 0%-5%+10¢1¢

0¢+20¢$7492/8

by 5% or more+20¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs10 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 2¢

YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $4·NO $5

YES Team

Total Invested

$31

Avg Win Rate

61.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$27(-88.6%)

Whales

4

Entry 15¢·156 shares

$-21INV $23 · WR 59.6%

yoyo424269🥈hedged

Entry 21¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO

$-4INV $4 · WR 69.6%

Entry 9¢·20 shares

$-2INV $2 · WR 71.3%

Entry 8¢·20 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 55.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$229

Avg Win Rate

83.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$73(+32.0%)

Whales

10

Entry 68¢·121.9 shares

+$37INV $83 · WR 87.7%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 69¢·80 shares

+$23INV $55 · WR 86.1%

god83743894🥉

Entry 90¢·20 shares

+$2INV $18 · WR 86.0%

Entry 88¢·20 shares

+$2INV $18 · WR 79.2%

Entry 98¢·17.9 shares

+$0INV $18 · WR 70.1%

yoyo424269hedged

Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES

+$4INV $16 · WR 69.6%

Entry 88¢·10 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 89.0%

garbagecollect4

Entry 72¢·7 shares

+$2INV $5 · WR 68.3%

Entry 75¢·5 shares

+$1INV $4 · WR 85.7%

Entry 71¢·5 shares

+$1INV $4 · WR 66.8%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 412ms