Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.6K
236 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 96 traders
VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $20.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 1¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $69 is directional: YES $12·NO $56YES Team
Total Invested
$41
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-86.5%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 9¢·206.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $18 · WR 59.6%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·50 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 65.9%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 8¢·100.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 71.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$285
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$135(+47.4%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 65¢·121.9 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $79 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 61¢·80 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $49 · WR 86.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·50 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $36 · WR 65.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $22 · WR 87.9%
P
puskin
Entry 58¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $20 · WR 91.7%
Y
yoyo424269
Entry 62¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $19 · WR 69.6%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 79¢·22.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 55.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 89.0%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 83¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 81.6%
L
Lonely-Smog
Entry 57¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 82.0%
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