Geopolitics20 days left
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$81.7K
889 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 235 traders
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
5 MARKETS · $1.12M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs39 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$1+2 new NO$35
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.3K is directional: YES $2.7K·NO $18.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-80.7%)
Whales
12
B
bipbipbop🥇
Entry 19¢·7,889.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-1283
$-1283INV $1.5K · WR 72.6%
N
nicolasGurr🥈
Entry 11¢·10,166.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-914
$-914INV $1.2K · WR 67.6%
G
Greysok🥉
Entry 109¢·655 shares
Invested
$711
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-695
$-695INV $711 · WR 58.4%
-
-BOB-
Entry 25¢·199.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $50 · WR 66.7%
T
Touge
Entry 5¢·240 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $11 · WR 67.6%
M
misaki
Entry 2¢·176.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 80.0%
E
Edje25
Entry 2¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 7 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+10.6%)
Whales
39
H
hopedieslast🥇
Entry 89¢·13,168.8 shares
Invested
$11.8K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1058
+$1058INV $11.8K · WR 56.5%
J
JoeBlack01🥈
Entry 92¢·2,316.7 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $2.1K · WR 60.0%
D
DumbOracle🥉
Entry 95¢·800 shares
Invested
$762
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $762 · WR 72.9%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 91¢·720 shares
Invested
$655
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $655 · WR 65.0%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 83¢·600 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $495 · WR 68.3%
A
AuthenticDemigod
Entry 91¢·499.5 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $453 · WR 69.7%
G
GlockShoot
Entry 89¢·447.1 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $400 · WR 75.6%
T
TheRealWarMonger
Entry 97¢·400 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $386 · WR 81.5%
C
CheyneA
Entry 90¢·385 shares
Invested
$347
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $347 · WR 66.7%
S
shred7777
Entry 90¢·300 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $270 · WR 89.7%
Showing top 10 of 39
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