Geopolitics66 days left
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$27.5K
329 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 97 traders
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
4 MARKETS · $1.03M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%
+20 new YES$1.9K+27 new NO$9.7K
2 smart whales4 smart whales
YES Team83 traders
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$522(-31.0%)
Whales
5
B
bipbipbop🥇
Entry 19¢·7,889.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-411
$-411INV $1.5K · WR 73.5%
C
compute🥈
Entry 81¢·138.9 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $113 · WR 55.9%
D
DumplingBMF🥉
Entry 11¢·371 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $41 · WR 71.0%
C
compute
Entry 17¢·144.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $25 · WR 55.9%
P
PPMT
Entry 78¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $23 · WR 55.9%
B
Bowed-Path
Entry 22¢·22.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 55.1%
NO Team83 traders
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$466(+6.8%)
Whales
10
G
GoriIIa🥇
Entry 81¢·6,115.2 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$336
+$336INV $5.0K · WR 71.5%
V
vakulchik🥈
Entry 82¢·1,484.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $1.2K · WR 55.6%
D
DoubleAgentKrasnov🥉
Entry 75¢·224.1 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $169 · WR 80.2%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 82¢·200 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $164 · WR 66.4%
G
GaioMario
Entry 77¢·200 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $155 · WR 71.3%
E
Eia
Entry 79¢·100 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $79 · WR 62.2%
G
Greysok
Entry 81¢·71 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $58 · WR 57.1%
D
DumplingBMF
Entry 74¢·39.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $29 · WR 71.0%
T
thunderquack
Entry 84¢·19 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 74.4%
A
AnaFav
Entry 81¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 65.4%
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