Politics12 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$307
40 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 29 traders
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$4+2 new NO$27
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+57.6%)
Whales
6
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 94¢·23 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 48¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.3%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 79.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 97¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 72.1%
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