Politics12 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 40% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$381
42 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 27 traders
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$23
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-50.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$79(+68.8%)
Whales
9
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 68¢·63 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $43 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 56¢·25.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $14 · WR 85.9%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 79.3%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 80.2%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 82.8%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 50¢·13.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 82.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 98¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 72.1%
L
lakatosnapoleon
Entry 5¢·21 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1 · WR 67.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1039ms