Politics12 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$4.6K
231 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 79 traders
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$42+7 new NO$153
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $32 is directional: YES $5·NO $27YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+1.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+10.3%)
Whales
10
A
AmericaFirst1🥇
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 58.9%
Y
yoyo424269🥈
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 70.4%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 79¢·23 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 58¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 85.9%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 78.9%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·13.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 82.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 85.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 77¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 63¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 72.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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