Politics12 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.7K
115 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 46 traders
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$2+2 new NO$46
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-82.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$133
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$84(+63.0%)
Whales
10
A
AmericaFirst1🥇
Entry 50¢·85.3 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $43 · WR 58.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 86¢·23 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 49¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $15 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 89.3%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 84.3%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 50¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 78.4%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 79.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 13¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.6%
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