Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.8K
188 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 93 traders
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$47
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-95.8%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 10¢·184.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 62.2%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 12¢·160 shares·also $116 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 82.6%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 9¢·94 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.4%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 19¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 72.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$304
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$216(+71.1%)
Whales
13
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·160 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $116 · WR 82.6%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 88¢·98.6 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $87 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 86.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 51¢·47.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $24 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 75¢·25.5 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $19 · WR 79.2%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 89¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 82.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 88.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 85¢·3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 84.1%
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