Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$6.3K
245 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 103 traders
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $30·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$45
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-97.6%)
Whales
6
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 11¢·246.3 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 62.2%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 20¢·60.3 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 82.6%
Y
yoyo424269🥉hedged
Entry 33¢·11 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 69.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·16 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
F
Female-Tailbud◆Proven
Entry 6¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.6%
P
ProvidingExitLiq
Entry 1¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 64.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$269
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$72(+27.0%)
Whales
13
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $94 · WR 78.2%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 71¢·60.3 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $43 · WR 82.6%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 79¢·47.3 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $37 · WR 87.7%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 100¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 61.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 87¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $22 · WR 66.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 71.9%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 75¢·11 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 69.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 70¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 75¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 87.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 70¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 84.1%
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