Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.6K
149 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 83 traders
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs11 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $103 is directional: YES $58·NO $45YES Team
Total Invested
$58
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-76.7%)
Whales
8
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 11¢·180.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $20 · WR 62.1%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 8¢·132.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $11 · WR 55.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 9¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 78.2%
R
RayGuy
Entry 9¢·94 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 56.4%
F
fkpa
Entry 15¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 62.2%
S
sweetj
Entry 14¢·30 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 72.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 71.9%
F
Female-Tailbud◆Proven
Entry 6¢·9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$429
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+1.8%)
Whales
11
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 99¢·235 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $233 · WR 87.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 97¢·47.3 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $46 · WR 87.7%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 61.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 77¢·29 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $22 · WR 71.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 83¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $21 · WR 66.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 80¢·17.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 79.2%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 84¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 82.0%
T
TrangNgo
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 92.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 64¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 88.6%
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