Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$4.1K
192 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 92 traders
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs12 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $468 is directional: YES $459·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$459
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$277(+60.4%)
Whales
6
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 97¢·364.6 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $354 · WR 92.0%
F
fkpa🥈
Entry 17¢·222 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $39 · WR 62.2%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥉
Entry 96¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 81.5%
D
deepervalue
Entry 89¢·28 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 76.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 9¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $9 · WR 78.2%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 8¢·35 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $3 · WR 61.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$239
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$221(-92.7%)
Whales
12
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 98¢·94 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $92 · WR 56.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 72¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $36 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 64¢·47.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $30 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 81¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 66.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 55¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 88.6%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 71¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 81.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 33¢·29 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 71.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 65¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 67.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 64¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 88.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 76¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 87.5%
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