Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.7K
112 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 65 traders
FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-84.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$481
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$58(+12.1%)
Whales
13
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·250 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $250 · WR 61.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 95¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $52 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·37 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90¢·25 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·14.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 94¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 66.7%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 92¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 81.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
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