Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.8K
150 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 82 traders
FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $34 is directional: YES $13·NO $21YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$50(-98.5%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 16¢·151 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 · WR 62.2%
A
Anjun🥈hedged
Entry 12¢·111 shares·also $93 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 58.4%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 16¢·85 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 72.2%
R
RayGuy
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$298
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$95(+31.8%)
Whales
12
A
Anjun🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·111 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $93 · WR 58.4%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 87¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $48 · WR 87.7%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $46 · WR 61.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 94¢·29.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 86.1%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 85¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $21 · WR 55.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 87¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 66.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 76¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.5%
M
mapleggg
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.7%
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