Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$8.2K
287 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 99 traders
FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs11 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%
+1 new YES$135+3 new NO$4
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $881·NO $151YES Team
Total Invested
$881
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$660(+74.9%)
Whales
8
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·350.5 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $299 · WR 78.2%
T
TrangNgo🥈
Entry 98¢·227.9 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $223 · WR 92.0%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥉
Entry 75¢·206.8 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $155 · WR 81.5%
W
willsom
Entry 69¢·140 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $96 · WR 62.7%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore
Entry 14¢·341.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$275
+$275INV $49 · WR 62.2%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 35¢·72.7 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $26 · WR 55.9%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 9¢·246.5 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $22 · WR 61.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 33¢·31 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $10 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$278
Avg Win Rate
90.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$260(-93.3%)
Whales
11
A
0xa24d776f...🥇
Entry 75¢·200.8 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
95.3%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $151 · WR 95.3%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 70¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $22 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·25 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 84¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 66.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 76¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 16¢·44.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 87.5%
M
mapleggg
Entry 77¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 85.6%
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