Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$4.8K
182 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 91 traders
FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $48·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-22.8%)
Whales
6
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 17¢·222.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $38 · WR 62.2%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven🥈
Entry 32¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 81.5%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·40 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 82.6%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 13¢·10 shares·also $92 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.4%
P
ProvidingExitLiq
Entry 1¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 64.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$440
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+2.0%)
Whales
14
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·118 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $118 · WR 61.1%
A
Anjun🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·111 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $92 · WR 58.4%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 98¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $50 · WR 78.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 68¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $37 · WR 87.7%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 72¢·40 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $29 · WR 82.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 68¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 87¢·16 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 83¢·15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 66.7%
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