Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$4.6K
289 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 78 traders
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $20.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$48+7 new NO$125
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$42(-79.9%)
Whales
5
A
Anjun◆Proven🥇
Entry 33¢·111 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $37 · WR 58.8%
G
garbagecollect4🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·17 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 68.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 13¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 75.0%
G
Grounded
Entry 19¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.3%
A
aliiz
Entry 21¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 65.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$236
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$321(+135.9%)
Whales
12
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 69¢·140.8 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $97 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 13¢·255.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $33 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $30 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 72.2%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $13 · WR 81.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 56¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 85.9%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 50¢·11 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 79.9%
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