Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$4.1K
222 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 63 traders
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $20.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$292+5 new NO$103
$124 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $1·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-35.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$349
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-5.1%)
Whales
13
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 73¢·157.8 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $116 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 76¢·60 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $46 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 77¢·52 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $40 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 75¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $38 · WR 72.2%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 77¢·23.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 74.8%
A
aliiz
Entry 77¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 65.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 89.0%
N
neverhackme
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 75.8%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $13 · WR 82.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 85.9%
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