Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$1.6K
118 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 47 traders
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$25+2 new NO$27
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+25.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$196
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$122(+61.9%)
Whales
12
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 55¢·120 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $67 · WR 69.2%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $30 · WR 85.7%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $20 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 88.7%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $13 · WR 79.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $13 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 85.9%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·11 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 81.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 86.1%
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