Grounded · Polymarket wallet 0xbcab…baa4

Wallet snapshot

Grounded has made 145 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $1,431 in volume. Most of it is in politics (40%) and sports (18%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes · $1 · 29¢ → 32¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes · -$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 15%-20%?No · -$3 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Yes · -$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?No · -$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No · -$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?No · -$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes · +$1 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Yes · -$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 50%-55%?No · -$1 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?No · -$2 · Sep 21, 2026

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