Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$4.4K
197 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 56 traders
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
56.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-79.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$43(+39.6%)
Whales
7
A
arbman69🥇
Entry 70¢·60 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $42 · WR 60.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $30 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $13 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 63¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 45¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 85.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 69¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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