Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$4.6K
167 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 50 traders
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$38(-66.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$94
Avg Win Rate
84.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+26.7%)
Whales
5
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 61¢·60.4 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $37 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 72¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·13.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1573ms