Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$9.4K
222 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 111 traders
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$1+3 new NO$36
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $0·NO $41YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-53.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$350
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$75(+21.3%)
Whales
14
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 78¢·80 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $62 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·60 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $47 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 80¢·55.1 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $44 · WR 79.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 79¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $39 · WR 87.5%
L
laurawalters
Entry 77¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 83.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $33 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·22 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $17 · WR 87.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 83.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 84.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
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