Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.6K
105 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 53 traders
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $38.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+6 new YES$6+3 new NO$65
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $10·NO $25YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-77.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$354
Avg Win Rate
84.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$340(+96.0%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $50 · WR 89.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·92.7 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $46 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 86.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 38¢·79.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $30 · WR 88.7%
A
anciano
Entry 100¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 59.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $22 · WR 87.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 84.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 67¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 88.9%
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