Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$4.9K
167 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 95 traders
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs16 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%
+1 new YES$18+1 new NO$2
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $444 is directional: YES $340·NO $105YES Team
Total Invested
$358
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+2.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$426
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$396(-93.1%)
Whales
16
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥇
Entry 87¢·100.5 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $87 · WR 70.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 86¢·67 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $58 · WR 79.1%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 86¢·60 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $51 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 81¢·60 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $49 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 91¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $36 · WR 88.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $33 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $33 · WR 87.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 83¢·22 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 87.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 84.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 32¢·40 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 89.0%
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