Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.6K
68 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 53 traders
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$20
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $9·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-83.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$354
Avg Win Rate
87.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+7.1%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 98¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 97¢·60 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $58 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 67¢·59.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $40 · WR 88.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $38 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $38 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 79.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 95¢·22 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 87.5%
T
TrangNgo
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 92.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 84.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 89.0%
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