GeopoliticsResolved
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$47.3K
657 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 259 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
2 MARKETS · $67.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs31 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $124·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.1K(-95.5%)
Whales
23
C
Car🥇
Entry 56¢·10,250.5 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-5786
$-5786INV $5.8K · WR 64.9%
R
Relaccsed🥈
Entry 50¢·3,245.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-1616
$-1616INV $1.6K · WR 56.7%
M
mm4ker🥉
Entry 19¢·2,620.5 shares
Invested
$498
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-498
$-498INV $498 · WR 69.7%
E
estoicc
Entry 22¢·394.6 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $87 · WR 55.5%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 33¢·220 shares·also $878 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 69.6%
B
bipbipbop
Entry 19¢·169.2 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 72.6%
M
mad4x
Entry 14¢·146 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 57.0%
F
Faston
Entry 5¢·100 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 55.2%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 19¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 74.6%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 5¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.7K(+46.2%)
Whales
31
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven🥇
Entry 80¢·14,086.9 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$2763
+$2763INV $11.3K · WR 78.7%
M
melonmanm🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·996 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$878
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $878 · WR 69.6%
C
Colstone2🥉
Entry 89¢·941 shares
Invested
$837
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $837 · WR 61.5%
A
Aglionby
Entry 89¢·941 shares
Invested
$837
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $837 · WR 68.4%
L
Luminous-Insectarium
Entry 86¢·700.1 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $600 · WR 64.4%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 83¢·605 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $502 · WR 62.6%
V
veridex
Entry 98¢·512.3 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
96.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $500 · WR 96.7%
S
SuAlteza
Entry 97¢·199.7 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $193 · WR 87.2%
M
M2sx92kljs42
Entry 18¢·643 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $117 · WR 71.2%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j
Entry 98¢·118.2 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $115 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 31
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