Soupy-Loophole · Polymarket wallet 0xd014…5258

Wallet snapshot

Soupy-Loophole has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 41 markets, $2,815 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (81%) and politics (10%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 84.4%, lifetime P&L +$479. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $157 · 62¢ → 97¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $125 · 80¢ → 100¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $115 · 87¢ → 100¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $112 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $108 · 83¢ → 90¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No · $106 · 83¢ → 88¢
• US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No · $103 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No · $25 · 60¢ → 25¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No · +$17 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$29 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?Yes · +$21 · Sep 17, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No · +$32 · Sep 1, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No · +$17 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.