Lavitacontinua · Polymarket wallet 0xe6aa…993c

Wallet snapshot

Lavitacontinua has made 972 trades on Polymarket across 119 markets, $108K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (76%) and sports (16%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 67.7%, lifetime P&L +$4,306. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $2,006 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1,228 · 79¢ → 86¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $764 · 91¢ → 96¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $758 · 48¢ → 89¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · $660 · 43¢ → 92¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $445 · 39¢ → 89¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?No · $443 · 86¢ → 89¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $247 · 69¢ → 35¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $189 · 81¢ → 95¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $175 · 64¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No · +$74 · Oct 12, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$204 · Oct 6, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$17 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No · -$903 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No · +$15 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$42 · Sep 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

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