Tech/AI75 days left
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$6.9K
382 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 107 traders
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
4 MARKETS · $97.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs11 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $798 is directional: YES $31·NO $768YES Team
Total Invested
$596
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$284(-47.7%)
Whales
9
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·528.9 shares·also $216 on NO
Invested
$469
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-250
$-250INV $469 · WR 73.8%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·80.8 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$65
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $65 · WR 59.5%
M
mariacryptoss🥉
Entry 49¢·46 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 63.9%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 94¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $19 · WR 67.4%
U
Untried-Wreck-Panpipehedged
Entry 45¢·13.8 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 69.2%
P
parameter1hedged
Entry 30¢·19.5 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 62.1%
D
DatosNoRelatos
Entry 22¢·23.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 · WR 66.1%
M
MrIdiotPigeon
Entry 50¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.0%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 24¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 64.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-0.8%)
Whales
11
L
libratus1◆Proven🥇
Entry 73¢·418.4 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $304 · WR 68.7%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥈
Entry 63¢·375 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $234 · WR 69.2%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 38¢·573.7 shares·also $469 on YES
Invested
$216
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $216 · WR 73.8%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 67¢·122.8 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $82 · WR 56.4%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 89¢·85.1 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $76 · WR 73.2%
L
lamyk
Entry 79¢·48.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $38 · WR 57.4%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 85¢·39.1 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $33 · WR 56.6%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 20¢·80.8 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $16 · WR 59.5%
U
Untried-Wreck-Panpipehedged
Entry 112¢·13.8 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $15 · WR 69.2%
P
parameter1hedged
Entry 74¢·19.5 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 62.1%
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