Politics167 days left
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$3.7K
172 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 78 traders
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 MARKETS · $72.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢+42¢$13.7K5/6Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+42¢3¢
$13.7K5/6
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+27¢$1.1K1/2Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+27¢6¢
$1.1K1/2
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢+30¢$2.1K1/2Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+30¢3¢
$2.1K1/2
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
7¢+50¢$3.8K4/3Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+50¢7¢
$3.8K4/3
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
8¢+25¢$1.6K1/2Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+25¢8¢
$1.6K1/2
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
2¢−2¢$1.7K0/2Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026−2¢2¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+14¢$1.9K1/4Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+14¢6¢
$1.9K1/4
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢+40¢$7.8K3/4Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+40¢3¢
$7.8K3/4
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢+22¢$3.6K1/3Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+22¢3¢
$3.6K1/3
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
17¢+12¢$3.3K2/5Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+12¢17¢
$3.3K2/5
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
2¢+23¢$2.3K1/3Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+23¢2¢
$2.3K1/3
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←
18¢+24¢$3.7K5/7Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←+24¢18¢
$3.7K5/7
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+11¢$3.8K1/5Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+11¢6¢
$3.8K1/5
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $847 is directional: YES $131·NO $716YES Team
Total Invested
$142
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-56.3%)
Whales
5
1
0x193df6f9...🥇
Entry 48¢·140.2 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $68 · WR 76.9%
U
Urwelcom🥈
Entry 38¢·137.4 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $52 · WR 68.3%
V
Vusion🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·27 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 57.1%
D
DeuraJr.
Entry 68¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 68.0%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven
Entry 45¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 70.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$727
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$120(+16.5%)
Whales
7
G
Giorgio2🥇
Entry 67¢·674.8 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $454 · WR 74.0%
9
0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3🥈
Entry 83¢·169 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $140 · WR 70.2%
M
musicenthusiast🥉
Entry 79¢·65.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $51 · WR 59.1%
P
PascalPro
Entry 79¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 64.9%
S
Shutler
Entry 61¢·50 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 69.2%
V
Vusionhedged
Entry 41¢·27 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $11 · WR 57.1%
K
knrad◆Proven
Entry 63¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 77.0%
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