Politics195 days left
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$9.5K
453 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 102 traders
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 MARKETS · $57.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←
3¢+43¢$9.5K6/7Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←+43¢3¢
$9.5K6/7
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
9¢+41¢$5711/1Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+41¢9¢
$5711/1
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
5¢+62¢$1.6K2/1Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+62¢5¢
$1.6K2/1
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+51¢$3.8K4/3Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+51¢6¢
$3.8K4/3
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
10¢+90¢$1.2K2/0Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+90¢10¢
$1.2K2/0
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢−3¢$1.5K0/2Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026−3¢3¢
$1.5K0/2
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
5¢+28¢$1.8K1/2Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+28¢5¢
$1.8K1/2
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
3¢+30¢$5.5K2/4Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+30¢3¢
$5.5K2/4
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+44¢$1.5K2/2Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+44¢6¢
$1.5K2/2
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
45¢+5¢$1.6K2/2Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+5¢45¢
$1.6K2/2
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
6¢+44¢$1.5K2/2Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+44¢6¢
$1.5K2/2
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
67¢−17¢$2.3K5/5Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026−17¢67¢
$2.3K5/5
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026
9¢+31¢$3.5K2/3Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+31¢9¢
$3.5K2/3
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $166·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$367
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$353(-96.1%)
Whales
6
V
Vusion🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·220 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$201
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $201 · WR 58.3%
P
PascalPro🥈
Entry 69¢·200 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $138 · WR 64.4%
S
Seldon26🥉
Entry 30¢·43 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 65.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 48¢·19.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 72.1%
S
Somber-Rule
Entry 77¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.5%
S
sssfff2
Entry 62¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$514(+22.5%)
Whales
7
D
DFK🥇
Entry 94¢·2,179.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $2.0K · WR 82.8%
F
Female-Tailbud◆Proven🥈
Entry 32¢·281.2 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $90 · WR 56.9%
D
defoncetout🥉
Entry 92¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $86 · WR 61.8%
A
Andromaque399
Entry 92¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 79.3%
V
Vusionhedged
Entry 9¢·220 shares·also $201 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $20 · WR 58.3%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 26¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $3 · WR 67.2%
C
Cheerful-Cesspool
Entry 0¢·50 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $0 · WR 89.1%
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