Politics167 days left

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$3.3K

220 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 64 traders

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 MARKETS · $72.8K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

3¢+42¢$13.7K5/6

Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+42¢3¢

Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

6¢+27¢$1.1K1/2

Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+27¢6¢

Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

3¢+30¢$2.1K1/2

Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+30¢3¢

Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

7¢+50¢$3.8K4/3

Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+50¢7¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

8¢+25¢$1.6K1/2

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+25¢8¢

Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

2¢−2¢$1.7K0/2

Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026−2¢2¢

Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

6¢+14¢$1.9K1/4

Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+14¢6¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

3¢+40¢$7.8K3/4

Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+40¢3¢

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

3¢+22¢$3.6K1/3

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+22¢3¢

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←

17¢+12¢$3.3K2/5

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026←+12¢17¢

Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

2¢+23¢$2.3K1/3

Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+23¢2¢

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

18¢+24¢$3.7K5/7

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+24¢18¢

Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

6¢+11¢$3.8K1/5

Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+11¢6¢

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

3¢+47¢$19.6K4/4

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026+47¢3¢

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026

70¢−20¢$2.6K3/3

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026−20¢70¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $426 is directional: YES $93·NO $334

YES Team

Total Invested

$93

Avg Win Rate

66.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$56(-60.3%)

Whales

2

Entry 51¢·155.2 shares

$-47INV $80 · WR 68.3%

K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE🥈

Entry 66¢·20.2 shares

$-9INV $13 · WR 58.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$366

Avg Win Rate

73.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+0.5%)

Whales

5

0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3🥇

Entry 83¢·263.9 shares

$-10INV $218 · WR 70.2%

Entry 87¢·132 shares

$-10INV $114 · WR 82.9%

Entry 45¢·55.1 shares

+$21INV $25 · WR 57.1%

Entry 85¢·9.2 shares

$-0INV $8 · WR 78.2%

Entry 50¢·2 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 65.4%

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