128 days left

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

36¢

36% implied

NO Price

65¢

65% implied

Volume

$349

41 trades

Smart Whales

3

of 18 traders

Which bills will become law in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $108.8K MATCHED

Smart Money

12¢+88¢$4042/0

$2.50 Coin+88¢12¢

AI-chip export licensing

37¢−37¢$770/1

AI-chip export licensing−37¢37¢

Credit-card routing competition

7¢+60¢$1632/1

Credit-card routing competition+60¢7¢

Data center utility cost protection

10¢−10¢$1120/2

Data center utility cost protection−10¢10¢

Export-control chip security←

36¢−3¢$3491/2

Export-control chip security←−3¢36¢

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

14¢+51¢$101.8K26/14

FISA Section 702 reauthorization+51¢14¢

Film/TV production expensing

Film/TV production expensing—17¢

4¢+56¢$1.6K6/4

Trump Airport+56¢4¢

the Critical-minerals stockpile

21¢−21¢$1780/1

the Critical-minerals stockpile−21¢21¢

the DEFIANCE Act

the DEFIANCE Act—26¢

the SELF DRIVE Act

6¢+44¢$1911/1

the SELF DRIVE Act+44¢6¢

the SHOWER Act—8¢

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

7¢+60¢$3.4K2/1

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum+60¢7¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team14 traders

Total Invested

$4

Avg Win Rate

69.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-54.5%)

Whales

1

Entry 78¢·5.2 shares

$-2INV $4 · WR 69.0%

NO Team14 traders

Total Invested

$9

Avg Win Rate

60.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-1.1%)

Whales

2

Entry 71¢·8.4 shares

$-1INV $6 · WR 57.3%

Entry 50¢·5.2 shares

+$1INV $3 · WR 69.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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