Economics81 days left

Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

8¢

8% implied

NO Price

92¢

92% implied

Volume

$1.6K

118 trades

Smart Whales

of 41 traders

Which bills will become law in 2026?

14 MARKETS · $135.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

AI-chip export licensing

23¢−9¢$5.0K1/6

AI-chip export licensing−9¢23¢

$5.0K1/6

Credit-card routing competition

12¢+8¢$1.1K1/4

Credit-card routing competition+8¢12¢

$1.1K1/4

Data center utility cost protection

18¢+15¢$3.0K2/4

Data center utility cost protection+15¢18¢

$3.0K2/4

Export-control chip security

31¢+2¢$4.0K2/4

Export-control chip security+2¢31¢

$4.0K2/4

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

12¢+45¢$108.4K20/15

FISA Section 702 reauthorization+45¢12¢

$108.4K20/15

Film/TV production expensing

16¢+64¢$3.1K4/1

Film/TV production expensing+64¢16¢

the Critical-minerals stockpile←

8¢+25¢$1.6K1/2

the Critical-minerals stockpile←+25¢8¢

$1.6K1/2

the DEFIANCE Act

4¢−4¢$9180/1

the DEFIANCE Act−4¢4¢

the SELF DRIVE Act+17¢8¢

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

7¢−7¢$4.3K0/4

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum−7¢7¢

$4.3K0/4

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%

+4 new YES$4+0 new NO$0

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $24 is directional: YES $0·NO $24

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

68.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-50.0%)

Whales

NO Team

Total Invested

$29

Avg Win Rate

60.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$47(+164.6%)

Whales

+$1INV $24 · WR 60.9%

+$47INV $5 · WR 56.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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