Crypto81 days left

Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$918

92 trades

Smart Whales

of 40 traders

Which bills will become law in 2026?

14 MARKETS · $135.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

AI-chip export licensing

23¢−9¢$5.0K1/6

AI-chip export licensing−9¢23¢

$5.0K1/6

Credit-card routing competition

12¢+8¢$1.1K1/4

Credit-card routing competition+8¢12¢

$1.1K1/4

Data center utility cost protection

18¢+15¢$3.0K2/4

Data center utility cost protection+15¢18¢

$3.0K2/4

Export-control chip security

31¢+2¢$4.0K2/4

Export-control chip security+2¢31¢

$4.0K2/4

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

12¢+45¢$108.4K20/15

FISA Section 702 reauthorization+45¢12¢

$108.4K20/15

Film/TV production expensing

16¢+64¢$3.1K4/1

Film/TV production expensing+64¢16¢

the Critical-minerals stockpile

8¢+25¢$1.6K1/2

the Critical-minerals stockpile+25¢8¢

$1.6K1/2

the DEFIANCE Act←

4¢−4¢$9180/1

the DEFIANCE Act←−4¢4¢

the SELF DRIVE Act+17¢8¢

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

7¢−7¢$4.3K0/4

the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum−7¢7¢

$4.3K0/4

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs1 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $0·NO $38

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$38

Avg Win Rate

57.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$8(+20.8%)

Whales

+$8INV $38 · WR 57.7%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 912ms