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Politics13 days left

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$1.00M
10,994 trades
Smart Whales
296
of 1,296 traders · 2 on both sides

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

20 MARKETS · $7.69M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

171 YESvs127 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 141 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+51 new YES$24.9K+40 new NO$2.8K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$59 of $181.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $178.7K·NO $3.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$182.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$28.6K(-15.6%)
Whales
171
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 82¢·30,311.9 shares
$-4446INV $24.9K · WR 56.0%
S
scottilicious🥈
Entry 90¢·23,005.6 shares
$-5071INV $20.6K · WR 85.5%
6
65765757🥉
Entry 86¢·19,797.1 shares
$-3686INV $17.0K · WR 79.1%
L
LulaVaiPerder
Entry 84¢·16,612.8 shares
$-2795INV $14.0K · WR 76.9%
H
HongKongMenace
Entry 90¢·13,519.4 shares
$-3103INV $12.2K · WR 85.5%
N
nedsta
Entry 78¢·11,852.8 shares
$-1234INV $9.2K · WR 88.6%
D
Dropper
Entry 74¢·12,221 shares
$-817INV $9.1K · WR 75.4%
T
Tigerofthehood
Entry 74¢·10,000 shares
$-650INV $7.4K · WR 87.1%
R
Robust-Exhaust
Entry 88¢·8,000 shares
$-1650INV $7.0K · WR 87.0%
R
RenanPresidente.
Entry 85¢·6,913.3 shares
$-1233INV $5.9K · WR 76.9%
Showing top 10 of 171

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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