HongKongMenace · Polymarket wallet 0x7919…72b2

+$53,937 lifetime P&L · 84.2% win rate · 57 resolved markets · 0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2

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Wallet snapshot

HongKongMenace has made 1,974 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $1.7M in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and geopolitics (37%). On 57 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%, lifetime P&L +$54K. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $45K · 88¢ → 91¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes · $7,000 · 93¢ → 88¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes · $1,236 · 64¢ → 11¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · $1,044 · 78¢ → 96¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · $246 · 19¢ → 21¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $221 · 3¢ → 2¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $1 · 58¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$255 · Oct 12, 2026
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes · +$73 · Sep 8, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · +$1,718 · Sep 8, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$635 · Sep 8, 2026
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No · +$1,134 · Aug 21, 2026
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes · +$585 · Aug 21, 2026

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