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Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
42ยข
42% implied
NO Price
58ยข
58% implied
Volume
$914.7K
12,409 trades
Smart Whales
551
of 2,932 traders ยท 4 on both sides

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

19 MARKETS ยท $6.46M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

335 YESvs220 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars ยท 254 YES vs 29 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%ยท net of hedges
+14 new YES$1.5K+9 new NO$309
$129 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
5 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$131 of $162.9K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $151.3KยทNO $11.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$156.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$64.1K(-41.0%)
Whales
335
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 85ยขยท106,000 shares
$-47268INV $90.2K ยท WR 62.9%
B
BMM-1๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 57ยขยท31,313.3 shares
$-5099INV $17.8K ยท WR 94.7%
D
Distinct-Kale๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 80ยขยท11,296.3 shares
$-4504INV $9.1K ยท WR 65.4%
F
forinnerpsandr1x11222Proven
Entry 22ยขยท26,776.8 shares
+$4867INV $6.0K ยท WR 91.3%
7
0x7a6c4696...
Entry 86ยขยท4,023.7 shares
$-1816INV $3.4K ยท WR 85.4%
B
borchi
Entry 86ยขยท3,708.6 shares
$-1697INV $3.2K ยท WR 68.0%
S
spidermarnn
Entry 85ยขยท3,000 shares
$-1335INV $2.5K ยท WR 75.6%
G
gagagagagaga
Entry 79ยขยท2,517.3 shares
$-979INV $2.0K ยท WR 72.5%
I
imjustalarp
Entry 87ยขยท2,200 shares
$-1024INV $1.9K ยท WR 60.0%
S
schizohedgehoghedged
Entry 32ยขยท5,209.8 sharesยทalso $7.4K on NO
+$477INV $1.7K ยท WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 335

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 60% YES: SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Capโ€ฆ