Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$133.9K
2,513 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 470 traders
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $135.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026←
0¢+21¢$133.9K19/70by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026←+21¢0¢
$133.9K19/70
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
29¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—29¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs70 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$997
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$871(-87.4%)
Whales
19
C
ChristopherMadden8328🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·404.3 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$390
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-390
$-390INV $390 · WR 55.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 120¢·200 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $241 · WR 57.7%
8
88mnm88🥉
Entry 104¢·229.1 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-238
$-238INV $238 · WR 77.1%
D
Drunken-Mentat
Entry 1¢·260 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 75.4%
Showing top 4 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.0K(+116.3%)
Whales
70
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 61¢·5,419.2 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$2135
+$2135INV $3.3K · WR 67.5%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 30¢·5,266.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3697
+$3697INV $1.6K · WR 85.8%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥉
Entry 69¢·1,946.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$599
+$599INV $1.3K · WR 73.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 41¢·1,547.3 shares
Invested
$640
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$907
+$907INV $640 · WR 69.2%
R
rated
Entry 52¢·1,208 shares
Invested
$625
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$583
+$583INV $625 · WR 87.7%
V
Varyag
Entry 40¢·877.6 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$530
+$530INV $348 · WR 69.0%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 94¢·355.1 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $334 · WR 56.3%
M
MKB
Entry 94¢·335 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $317 · WR 69.3%
J
jsi3fj2kfwhh923kf
Entry 69¢·400 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $277 · WR 86.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 40¢·658.5 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$397
+$397INV $261 · WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 70
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