mpstire-lutuwar · Polymarket wallet 0xfde1…3690

Wallet snapshot

mpstire-lutuwar has made 2,189 trades on Polymarket across 228 markets, $536K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (25%) and sports (22%). On 203 resolved markets the win rate is 87.2%, lifetime P&L +$21K. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · $2,362 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes · $1,000 · 99¢ → 100¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $989 · 88¢ → 92¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · $983 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes · $442 · 77¢ → 74¢
• Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes · $429 · 88¢ → 86¢
• No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?No · $256 · 14¢ → 14¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?No · $16 · 3¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$16 · Oct 16, 2026
• Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No · +$74 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$41 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes · -$1,985 · Oct 16, 2026
• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.