marchonnow · Polymarket wallet 0xfc04…4f75

Wallet snapshot

marchonnow has made 1,222 trades on Polymarket across 195 markets, $790K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (31%). On 179 resolved markets the win rate is 65.9%, lifetime P&L +$350. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $11K · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $1,763 · 87¢ → 89¢
• Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $659 · 61¢ → 44¢
• Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No · $4 · 72¢ → 77¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes · $3 · 66¢ → 61¢
• Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes · $3 · 69¢ → 59¢
• Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Yes · $1 · 41¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes · +$190 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes · +$21 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes · +$1,101 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Yes · +$208 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes · +$108 · Oct 5, 2026

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