PoliticsResolved
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$40.7K
825 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 208 traders
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs27 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.8K is directional: YES $6.8K·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$13.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.9K(+72.1%)
Whales
23
M
MSFTQQQ🥇
Entry 93¢·4,973.3 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $4.6K · WR 84.6%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥈
Entry 50¢·6,929.4 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$3456
+$3456INV $3.5K · WR 75.2%
M
marchonnow🥉
Entry 93¢·1,602.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $1.5K · WR 65.9%
R
Renan2030
Entry 50¢·2,427.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1214
+$1214INV $1.2K · WR 77.3%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 48¢·1,204.3 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$579
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$625
+$625INV $579 · WR 67.3%
S
Serpentine-Majority◆Proven
Entry 92¢·500 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $460 · WR 79.1%
6
65765757
Entry 9¢·3,928.5 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$3584
+$3584INV $344 · WR 78.2%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 50¢·464 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $232 · WR 90.9%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 50¢·428 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$214
+$214INV $214 · WR 63.4%
P
pagliacci4
Entry 99¢·211 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $210 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-68.6%)
Whales
27
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·1,244.3 shares·also $579 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-1245
$-1245INV $1.2K · WR 67.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 24¢·947.4 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $225 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 10¢·1,511.7 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $147 · WR 87.7%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 8¢·1,400 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $105 · WR 70.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 20¢·202 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 88.7%
M
merod
Entry 10¢·212.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 84.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 6¢·196.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 5¢·167.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 79.2%
C
conherence
Entry 11¢·81 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 58.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 12¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
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