Morsbach · Polymarket wallet 0xf962…fcfe

Wallet snapshot

Morsbach has made 141 trades on Polymarket across 90 markets, $1,466 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (64%) and politics (26%). On 82 resolved markets the win rate is 65.9%, lifetime P&L +$62. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jul 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $17 · 78¢ → 91¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes · $15 · 20¢ → 10¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes · $14 · 12¢ → 3¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $13 · 53¢ → 64¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $13 · 15¢ → 4¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $2 · 25¢ → 15¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $1 · 82¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes · +$1 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No · +$13 · May 9, 2026
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · -$0 · Apr 21, 2026
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No · +$2 · Apr 6, 2026
• Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes · +$2 · Apr 6, 2026

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