Upset-Postbox · Polymarket wallet 0xf2ba…56e7

Wallet snapshot

Upset-Postbox has made 92 trades on Polymarket across 67 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (15%). On 51 resolved markets the win rate is 78.4%. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $11 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $11 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $10 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $10 · 100¢ → 98¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?No · $6 · 89¢ → 99¢
• Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No · $5 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $5 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · $5 · 99¢ → 100¢
• James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No · $1 · 90¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETYes · +$0 · Jul 26, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?No · +$0 · Jun 7, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.